{"id":5403,"date":"2020-06-10T10:00:58","date_gmt":"2020-06-10T15:00:58","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/christinapinkerman.com\/wp\/is-a-recession-here-yes-does-that-mean-a-housing-crash-no\/"},"modified":"2020-06-10T10:00:58","modified_gmt":"2020-06-10T15:00:58","slug":"is-a-recession-here-yes-does-that-mean-a-housing-crash-no","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/christinapinkerman.com\/wp\/is-a-recession-here-yes-does-that-mean-a-housing-crash-no\/","title":{"rendered":"Is a Recession Here? Yes. Does that Mean a Housing Crash? No."},"content":{"rendered":"<div>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"358\" src=\"https:\/\/christinapinkerman.com\/wp\/wp-content\/uploads\/20200610-KCM-Share-549x300-1.jpg\" class=\"webfeedsFeaturedVisual wp-post-image\" alt=\"Is a Recession Here? Yes. Does that Mean a Housing Crash? No. | Simplifying The Market\" style=\"display: block; margin-bottom: 5px; clear:both;max-width: 100%;\" link_thumbnail=\"\" srcset=\"https:\/\/christinapinkerman.com\/wp\/wp-content\/uploads\/20200610-KCM-Share-549x300-1.jpg 549w, https:\/\/files.simplifyingthemarket.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/06\/09161136\/20200610-KCM-Share.jpg 750w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 549px) 100vw, 549px\"><\/p>\n<p>On Monday, the <em>National Bureau of Economic Research<\/em> (NBER) <a href=\"https:\/\/www.nber.org\/cycles\/june2020.html\">announced<\/a> that the U.S. economy is officially in a recession. This did not come as a surprise to many, as the <em>Bureau<\/em> defines a recession this way:<span id=\"more-42490\"><\/span><\/p>\n<blockquote>\n<p><em>&ldquo;A recession is a significant decline in economic activity spread across the economy, normally visible in production, employment, and other indicators. A recession begins when the economy reaches a peak of economic activity and ends when the economy reaches its trough. Between trough and peak, the economy is in an expansion.&rdquo;<\/em><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p>Everyone realizes that the pandemic shut down the country earlier this year, causing a &ldquo;significant decline in economic activity.&rdquo;<\/p>\n<p>Though not surprising, headlines announcing the country is in a recession will cause consumers to remember the devastating impact the last recession had on the housing market just over a decade ago.<\/p>\n<p>The real estate market, however, is in a totally different position than it was then. As Mark Fleming, <em>Chief Economist<\/em> at <em>First American<\/em>, <a href=\"https:\/\/blog.firstam.com\/economics\/why-the-housing-market-may-weather-coronavirus-impact-better-than-the-great-recession\">explained<\/a>:<\/p>\n<blockquote>\n<p><em>&ldquo;Many still bear scars from the Great Recession and may expect the housing market to follow a similar trajectory in response to the coronavirus outbreak. But, there are distinct differences that indicate the housing market may follow a much different path. While housing led the recession in 2008-2009, this time it may be poised to bring us out of it.&rdquo;<\/em><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p>Four major differences in today&rsquo;s real estate market are:<\/p>\n<ol>\n<li>Families have <a href=\"https:\/\/www.simplifyingthemarket.com\/2020\/05\/06\/why-home-equity-is-a-bright-spark-in-the-housing-market\/?a=364401-3b56ebb70dafbecc4de42825d439e92e\">large sums of equity in their homes<\/a><\/li>\n<li>We have <a href=\"https:\/\/www.simplifyingthemarket.com\/2020\/06\/02\/home-prices-its-all-about-supply-and-demand\/?a=364401-3b56ebb70dafbecc4de42825d439e92e\">a shortage of housing inventory<\/a>, not an overabundance<\/li>\n<li>Irresponsible lending <a href=\"https:\/\/www.simplifyingthemarket.com\/2019\/11\/14\/this-is-not-2008-all-over-again-the-mortgage-lending-factor\/?a=364401-3b56ebb70dafbecc4de42825d439e92e\">no longer exists<\/a><\/li>\n<li>Home price appreciation is <a href=\"https:\/\/www.simplifyingthemarket.com\/2020\/03\/04\/real-estate-is-soaring-but-not-like-2008\/?a=364401-3b56ebb70dafbecc4de42825d439e92e\">not out of control<\/a><\/li>\n<\/ol>\n<p>We must also realize that a recession does not mean a housing crash will follow. &nbsp;In three of the four previous recessions prior to 2008, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.simplifyingthemarket.com\/2020\/03\/20\/a-recession-does-not-equal-a-housing-crisis\/?a=364401-3b56ebb70dafbecc4de42825d439e92e\">home values increased<\/a>. In the other one, home prices depreciated by only 1.9%.<\/p>\n<h3><strong>Bottom Line<\/strong><\/h3>\n<p>Yes, we are now officially in a recession. However, unlike 2008, this time the housing industry is in much better shape to weather the storm.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>On Monday, the National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER) announced that the U.S. economy is officially in a recession. This did not come as a surprise to many, as the Bureau defines a recession this way: &ldquo;A recession is a significant decline in economic activity spread across the economy, normally visible in production, employment, and [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":5404,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_exactmetrics_skip_tracking":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[4,5,6],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-5403","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-for-buyers","category-for-sellers","category-housing-market-updates"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/christinapinkerman.com\/wp\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5403","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/christinapinkerman.com\/wp\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/christinapinkerman.com\/wp\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/christinapinkerman.com\/wp\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/christinapinkerman.com\/wp\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=5403"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/christinapinkerman.com\/wp\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5403\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/christinapinkerman.com\/wp\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/5404"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/christinapinkerman.com\/wp\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=5403"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/christinapinkerman.com\/wp\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=5403"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/christinapinkerman.com\/wp\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=5403"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}